Ben Goertzel, an artificial intelligence specialist and founder of SingularityNET, estimates that artificial general intelligence could arrive within three to eight years. This artificial intelligence capable of competing with humans will be the starting point for technological singularity, with potentially profound changes to human society.
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The technological singularity is a concept that has been widely explored in science fiction. The development of artificial intelligence should give rise to artificial general intelligence (AGI) that will be able to understand the world as a human does. It is possible for this international advisory group to innovate by inventing new technologies, which would lead to a breakthrough in technological development. But where are we headed? Towards an uprising of machines, as in finisher or Matrix ? Or perhaps towards a benevolent intelligence governing human society as in The night of time By René Barjavel or the universe the culture By Ian M. Banks?
It won’t take long to find out, apparently. Six months ago, Ray Kurzweil predicted a 20-year period, while Google’s DeepMind chief estimated it would take a decade. However, for Ben Goertzel, founder of SingularityNET, it will happen much faster.
Artificial general intelligence and technological singularity in just three years?
In an interview with the media DecryptionThe artificial intelligence specialist estimated “ It now takes three to eight years, thanks in part to big language models like Meta’s Llama2 and OpenAI’s GPT-4, to represent real progress “.
According to him, “ These systems have dramatically increased the world’s enthusiasm for AGI, so you will have more resources, both financial and human – the smartest young people will want to dive into and work on AGI“.
Several companies are working on artificial general intelligence, including OpenAI, Google DeepMind, and Elon Musk’s XAI. It is currently unclear how the presence of AGI might impact society, but most AI specialists expect profound changes. Ben Goertzel notably estimated in May that AI would make 80% of jobs obsolete, a conclusion shared in part by a Goldman Sachs study.
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