It has always been difficult to quantify the value of draft picks, but recent work is starting to look at the value of draft picks in order to give the general public a better understanding of the costs of advancing in the draft.
In 2011, Michael E. Schuckers published a report on the total value of draft picks based on trades made between the 1988 and 1997 NHL drafts. In this exercise, Montreal Hockey Now He proposed a similar approach, but with the NHL pulled from 2012 to 2021 and produced the table below.
The calculation of the value of each selection was based on previous general models, with greater consideration for recent exchanges. This is not to say that the values are accurate, as each deal is always unique between clubs, but it does provide a framework within which a trade can be built. – Marco D’Amico
Taking the example of the Canadian who picked fifth, Hughes’ pick is worth 90 points. Suppose he absolutely wants to get the third pick for Leo Carlsson, he would need 120 points i.e. the fifth pick + the Panthers pick (31 or 32) which equals about 22 points + his second round pick (37 overall pick) which is worth 17.5 points.
Obviously, this is not an exact science and such an exchange, even if the value is there, may not satisfy the GM of the Blue Jackets. It’s case by case but still an interesting exercise.
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