Duplicate repeater? During the summer of 2020, the infection rate was COVID-19 at Young exploded in France, which portends the occurrence of the second wave, which finally materialized at the beginning of the school year and during the fall. According to the data published by public health FranceThis scenario appears to be repeating itself at the beginning of summer 2021.
Because since the end of June, If the total number of coronavirus cases recorded in France increases againThis is mainly due to the fact that the number of infections among young people is clearly rising.
Among people aged 20 to 29, the incidence rises sharply
As shown in the following graph, this is particularly the case among 20-29 year olds, an age group in which the infection rate decreased from 36.1 cases per 100,000 individuals between June 21 and 27. to 64.9 cases per 100,000 people between June 28 and June. July 4th.
Children aged 10-19 and 30-39 are also affected by this increase in incidence, but to a lesser extent and even at lower levels (less than 40 cases per 100,000 individuals in both cases).
Incidence rate among the elderly continues to decline
Conversely, incidence rates among the oldest are low, and often declining. For example, there were only 7 cases per 100,000 people aged 70-79 between June 28 and July 4, compared to 8 the previous week.
The incidence rate among people aged 80-89 and over 90 is also declining, never exceeding 11 cases per 100,000 individuals. That’s more than half of France’s July 4 infection rate (24.6 cases per 100,000 people), driven by infections among young adults.
Similar scenarios in Spain and the United Kingdom
In addition to recalling the scenario of summer 2020, this sharp increase in the number of infections among those under the age of 30 mirrors the situation of some of our European neighbours.
statusSpain Hence it is particularly symbolic. “Today’s numbers are not good at all”And the commented Monday 5th Jul by Fernando SimonThe chief epidemiologist at the Ministry of Health before he clarifies that “This data was very variable between different age groups” And the “Among the youngest, (Spain) the infection rate was close to 600.”
In fact, on Tuesday, July 6, it was CataloniaIt announced, on the front line in the face of this epidemic recovery, that it will impose new health restrictions, on top of which is the closure of nightclubs on suspicion of participating in the strong spread of the virus among young people, which appear in the joint drawings. On Twitter by journalist Vincent Galad.
In one week, the infection rate in Catalonia dropped from 70 to 332.
Vincent Glad 6 July 2021
as show Data published by the UK government, the seven-day rolling incidence rate was approximately 800 cases per 100,000 individuals aged 20-24 years on 2 July, while this rate remained below 40 cases per 100,000 individuals in people over 70 years of age.
Hospital admissions still low
While waiting to be able to see the benefits of vaccination, it is first and foremost this pattern where high infection rates among the young coexist with a very low number of infections among the elderly, which explains the fact that in the UK – the number of hospitalizations is not increasing in terms of the number of cases, Young people are less likely to develop severe forms of the disease than the elderly.